Buy Jarvis Landry, Sell Calvin Ridley (and Other Buy Sell and Holds After Week Four)

Kenyan Drake Fantasy Hard Knocks Buy Sell Hold

HOLD:

Odell Beckham Jr. –

Beckham could also be in the buy section for me. His numbers don’t reflect his value but the Giants are going to have to feed him and Saquon Barkley after a tough start to the year. Their usage of him thus far has been putrid, and Eli Manning isn’t helping the situation but there is still room for optimism. he’s still on pace for 124 catches and going in to week 4, of 21 catchable passes he had 0 drops. We can also reasonably expect lots of negative game scripts moving forward given the offenses ineptitude which should lead to more targets.

Rob Gronkowski –

In a sellers market you may be tempted to sell Gronk after 3 disappointing weeks and an ankle injury but relief is on its way. I’ve mentioned this in other articles but the return of Julian Edelman and the continued roll out of Josh Gordon should force defenses to not respect the rest of the field and not clamp down on Gronkowski, which is what has happened the last 3 weeks. Sony Michel’s effectiveness will also force linebackers to cheat up just a tad as well clearing the middle where Gronk loves to roam.

SELL:

James White –

White is currently RB7 and just put up a monster week 4 good for 31.2 PPR fantasy points. The return of Julian Edelman this week is going to ruin White’s value. White was seeing more playing time in part due to Edelman’s suspension and the loss of Jeremy Hill and Rex Burkhead. Since week 2 the Patriots have made a concerted effort to get Sony Michel involved which hasn’t affected White’s value because he had been ineffective and Edelman was still out. Michel will clearly take the 1st and 2nd down work and Edelman will occupy the slot, taking many of the screen passes. Now is the time to sell White before his value tanks.

Kenyan Drake –

I’ve mentioned Drake before but Frank Gore is going to live forever and the Dolphins are going to make sure he ruins your fantasy team. Gore is owned in just 8% of Yahoo leagues and 9% of ESPN leagues while Drake is owned in 96% of both. Yet Drake only has 6 more fantasy points over 4 weeks. Not only is the timeshare real but the schedule isn’t so great either, especially in weeks 15 and 16 when the Dolphins will face the Vikings and Jaguars. The window is closing to be able to get rid of Drake.

Calvin Ridley –

I could be completely wrong here on how Ridley’s usage will play out over the next 12 weeks but 6 touchdowns in 3 weeks is inflating Ridley’s value. Ridley’s production is coming on limited snaps, averaging just 59% over 4 weeks. Meanwhile Mohamed Sanu actually leads the Falcons with an 81% average. Ridley actually saw his lowest percentage in week 4 yet still put up a monster game. On the flip side Julio Jones is getting ripped in the fantasy community for his lack of touchdowns yet is actually WR7 in PPR formats. Sell Ridley, buy Jones.

BUY:

Jarvis Landry –

Landry didn’t have the best week 4 with Mayfield but makes my buy list again and should continue to see an uptick after week 5 when his schedule gets softer. After this week against the Ravens the Browns will face the Chargers, Buccaneers, Steelers, Chiefs, Falcons, Bengals, and Texans into December. What was perceived as a hard schedule prior to the season has now turned soft from a passing perspective, facing many of the bottom dwellers in team defense. The Chargers are the toughest and they are ranks 21st overall. I wrote an in depth look in to Jarvis Landry’s value in August which can add more context for you but now’s the time to buy in.

Aaron Jones –

Mike McCarthy sees his backfield as a 3 headed monster but that’s not how it’s going to work out as the season progresses. Jamaal Williams is the better pass blocker for sure but he’s terribly inefficient at his actual job, running the ball, and Ty Montgomery is being utilized in his natural receiving role. In steps Aaron Jones after his 2 game suspension and immediately began averaging 6.5 YPC over his first 2 games. In week 4 against a mushy Bills team he split the carries with Williams but averaged 5.9 YPC while Williams averaged just 2.5 YPC. With Aaron Rodgers nursing his knee injury the Packers are going to need to run the ball more often and with greater efficiency to keep the pressure off of Rodgers and Jones is going to be that guy.

Russell Wilson –

russell-wilson-schedule-fantasy-hard-knocks

Wilson has had a slow start to the season which is becoming common for him. His schedule going forward however is nicer than it appears facing the Rams twice who are suddenly hurting in the secondary, as well as the Raiders, Chargers, 49ers(2x), and the Chiefs. He also gets the Chiefs in championship week.

Wilson also saw the return of Doug Baldwin in week 4. If Baldwin can maintain his health and Tyler Lockett continues to emerge Wilson could be in for some great games coming up. Another aspect is we really haven’t seen Wilson use his legs yet, rushing just 11 times for 42 yards through 4 games. If there is a frustrated Wilson owner in your league or he’s suddenly dropped, see about adding him to your roster.

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