Wide Receiver Starts
Oakland just gave up 4 passing touchdowns to the Dolphins(3 from Ryan Tannehill) and Baker Mayfield looked sharp in relief of Tyrod Taylor. Taylor missed a wide open Antonio Callaway five times against the Jets and missed Jarvis Landry another five times. After Mayfield entered Landry caught 8 of 10 passes and Callaway caught 3 of 5 passes. Callaway saw 10 total targets on the night, second only to Landry. This could be Callaway’s breakout week.
The Chargers come home to see the reeling 49ers this week who will not only be without Jimmy Garoppolo but also Richard Sherman. Williams has exploded on the scene, in part due to the absence of Hunter Henry and has been a favorite red zone target of Phillip Rivers seeing 3 targets for 2 touchdowns. For perspective, Keenan Allen has seen 4 targets with one touchdown. Williams has 15 targets for 11 catches and saw the same number of targets as Allen last week. The Chargers should see plenty of the red zone this week with Williams a solid flex play. If he continues to shine he’ll vault into WR2 territory quickly.
Calvin Ridley just pants the entire Saints secondary to the tune of 7 catches 146 yards and 3 touchdowns. Odell Beckham Jr. is going to get his on Sunday but don’t sleep on Shephard who plays a similar role as Ridley, running a lot of crossing routes and has similar characteristics. The Saints are favored by 3.5 with a 50 point O/U, there will be plenty of scoring to go around in this one.
Wide Receiver Sits
Chris Hogan is a great buy low candidate as he should see some much needed help in the coming weeks and move back to his natural position but this week he needs to be on your bench. Hogan is averaging over 90% of the snaps yet has only garnered 14 targets through 3 weeks. Trying to fill Julian Edelman’s shoes, his timing has been off with Tom Brady and the offensive line isn’t doing any of them any favors.
Enunwa has been a pleasant surprise and a frequent target of Sam Darnold. Unfortunately he and the Jets are about to run up against arguably the best defense in the league in the Jaguars. Jalen Ramsey and company should do a good job of containing Enunwa and frustrating the rookie quarterback. Jacksonville is 3rd in the league in passing yards given up and 4th overall in total defense, giving up a paltry 171 YPG in the air.
Nelson just put up a sick 6/173/1 line against the Dolphins in week 3 so it’d be easy to get real excited and toss him in your lineup this week. He now faces a sneaky good Browns defense which already has 5 interceptions and 9 sacks and only given up 3 passing touchdowns, good for 4th in the league behind three teams tied with just 2. The Raiders, Derek Carr, and for that matter Jordy himself have been very inconsistent so far to start the year.
Running Back Starts
Oakland is giving up 116.3 YPG on the ground and is one of the worst in the league with 5.1 YPC. Hyde is quietly tied for the league lead in rushing touchdowns with 4 and now defenses will need to respect the arm and legs of Baker Mayfield. Hyde is the clear goal line back and should get opportunities this week to increase his touchdown total.
This one comes with a caveat that Mixon is out. If Mixon is in he certainly becomes the play. When Mixon is out Bernard has averaged 7.3 targets per game. In that same time both Alvin Kamara and Christian McCaffrey have averaged that same 7.3 targets which is tops in the league for running backs. The Falcons Deion Jones is on IR and they’ve lost both their starting safeties. They just gave up 43 points to the Saints where Kamara had 15 catches on 20 targets. They’re also 31st in YPA at 5.2 and giving up 125 YPG to opponents rushers. Whoever is in the Bengals backfield, start them!
I can’t quit Freeman. My head tells me to but my heart just can’t. He had a good game in week 3, but it’s slightly misleading due to Phillip Lindsay’s ejection. On the bright side, Freeman’s solid performance may get him some more touches in week 4 and Lindsay’s idiocy may give him a few less. The Chiefs are 30th in the league in yards given up per attempt at 5.2 and if the Broncos want to have any chance at remaining in this game they are going to need to keep the ball away from Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense.
Running Back Sits
Hunt has been somewhat disappointing to start the year, he’s just not seeing the kind of touches he saw last year and is averaging just 17 rushing attempts per game. Mahomes high flying attack is proving a detriment to Hunts value and there just aren’t as many check down opportunities as there were last year with Alex Smith under center. Denver is 2nd in the league in YPA to opposing rushers at just 3.3 and 4th in overall rushing defense.