Buy Rex Burkhead, Sell James Conner (and other Buy Sell and Holds after Week One)

travis-kelce-fantasy-hard-knocks

HOLD:

Dallas Goedart –

He only played 24% of snaps and saw only 3 targets but 1 was in the red zone, a possible sign of things to come. Keep tabs on him on your waiver wire. With the tight end position already thin after week one should Ertz go down he becomes an immediate TE1.

Calvin Ridley –

Ridley was held catchless on just 2 targets and is certainly the 3rd option in the wide receiver corp but he did see 46 snaps which is promising. In deeper leagues hold on it him to see how this shakes out in the coming weeks.

SELL:

Doug Baldwin –

This is going to be a tough sell but if the market is there you should consider unloading. Prior to week one we knew he had a knee issue that he openly admitted he would have to deal with all year. In the first half of week one he exited with an injury to his other knee. Two bad knees is no Bueno. You may need to hold here until he comes back to even get fifty cents on the dollar but again, if theres a Baldwin fan out there looking for a trade, make it.

James Conner –

I’m selling high on James Conner. Why? There’s nothing from stopping Le’Veon Bell from reporting tomorrow or 10 weeks from now. And that volatility means I’d rather sell high and get a consistent producer for my team for the long haul. Remember that even if Bell holds out until week 12 that means he’s back for the fantasy playoffs, potentially rendering Conner droppable in most formats.

Travis Kelce –

This is a soft sell here as we all know the tight end pool is small. But with what look like serious injuries to both Greg Olsen and Delanie Walker there may be an owner or two willing to make an offer you can’t refuse and if it’s me, I’m listening. Kelce has made his living off short, middle of the field routes as you can clearly see in these NextGen Stat Charts. Yet Patrick Mahomes seems to be trending the other way through 12 of his 27 passes over 10 yards down the field. Kelce saw 6 targets for just 1 reception. Perhaps this was gameplan, and a larger sample size will certainly tell a better tale, but it bears watching this early in the season.

BUY:

Kenny Stills –

With Jarvis Landry in front of him Stills was relegated to mostly anonymity but with Landry gone and Parker injured again Stills exploded for 106yds and 2 TDs on just 5 targets. Look for his target share to continue to trend upward as the season progresses.

Jarvis Landry –

Speaking of Landry, in a game with nasty weather conditions Landry still managed 7 receptions for 106 yards but what was most encouraging was his 15 targets. In better weather with his hands he should easily increase those numbers.

Rex Burkhead –

I believed Burkhead would be eased in to action and if his usage in week one was easing him in he’s in for a large workload going forward especially with what appears to be a season ending injury for Jeremy Hill. Rex saw 3 targets to James White’s 9 but saw the bulk of the rushing duties seeing 18 carries to White’s 5 for a total of 21 touches which puts him in the top 10 for touches by a running back in week one.

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